The Golden Globes were held on Sunday night and while the
awards do not carry the prestige of the Academy Awards, many people believe
that the Globes can be helpful in helping provide some insight into which films
and performers may be considered favorites at the Oscars. However, based on
recent history, the Golden Globes and the Oscars rarely seem to mesh up.
Excluding this year because the Oscars have not yet happened,
the film that won Best Picture at the Golden Globes has gone on to win the same
award at the Academy Awards only six times in the previous 12 years. Making
that even more damning is the fact that the Hollywood Foreign Press hands out
two best pictures (Drama and Comedy/Musical) annually.
The number of actors and actresses that sweep the awards,
keeping in mind that the Golden Globes hand out two trophies for acting as well,
remains relatively low, with only eight actors and eight actresses repeating.
(Kate Winslet won Golden Globes as both lead and Supporting Actress a few years
ago and ultimately did win an Oscar but for her supporting role. It was weird.)
The reason that all of this information is relevant is
because Ben Affleck and his film “Argo” was a big winner on Sunday night at the
Globes, with Affleck securing Best Director despite not being nominated for an
Oscar and “Argo” winning Best Picture in the Drama category.
Because of the wins, many
pundits are saying the Oscar race for Best Picture, which was already a
three-film race between “Lincoln,” “Les Miserables,” and “Zero Dark Thirty,”
with “Silver Linings Playbook” and “Django Unchained” still lurking on the
periphery of the race, is now wide open and basically any film can win.
However, if recent history has proven anything, it’s that the race is as open
now as it was prior to the Golden Globes, which have little apparent bearing on
the Oscar race.
A few other thoughts from Sunday night’s ceremony:
· --For much of the build to “Awards Season,” it
seemed like everyone was fighting for second place in the Best Actor category
behind Daniel Day-Lewis in “Lincoln.” However, it seems that Joaquin Phoenix
has begun seeing a groundswell of support. When his film “The Master” was
released way back in September, Phoenix was given the highest praises for his
performance. However, one of the perils of an early release is that by the time
Awards Season rolls around, many of those films are forgotten. (For example,
Based on the reaction that Phoenix got at
the Golden Globes, which was arguably the loudest of the night in a room full
of actors, it would seem that support for his performance has grown and it is
important to remember that for the Academy Awards, voters only decide the
category of their branch, actors vote for actors. While DDL is almost certainly
still the favorite to win his record-setting third Best Actor Oscar, Joaquin
Phoenix winning would not be the upset that many think.
The race between the winners of the two Best
Actress awards (Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence) is going to be an
interesting one to watch. Both have justifiably received incredible praise for
their very different performances. At this point, the award is probably
Chastain’s to lose only because she was the lone nominee for “Zero Dark
Thirty.” Many people could justify a vote for her by saying she carried the
movie while saying Lawrence was one of many since the film is represented in
all four acting categories.
That thinking has a big flaw, however,
because of the sheer numbe
r of nominations that “Silver Linings Playbook” has
garnered this year. It has been nominated in literally every major category and
to not win at least one Oscar (Lawrence is the only one with a chance) would be
viewed as a major defeat for the film and a poor reflection on the Academy.
Does Tommy Lee Jones hate Will Ferrell
or just award
shows? Or was he disappointed that he did not win
? Whatever the reason, his
face was undoubtedly among the highlights of the show.